F1Punter

First things first: I’m not going to try to predict the weather for this weekend. The Spa Francochamps circuit is acknowledged for having its own micro-climate and there have been times where it has felt like that particular corner of Belgium was the only place in Western Europe where rain was falling. A little bit of inclement weather would certainly help anyone interested in this bet though:

In the last ten F1 races at Spa, six have been affected by a Safety Car period. In those races, the Mercedes tin-top has been deployed no fewer than nine times. In fact five of those have been in wet conditions and a respectable four when the track has been dry.

Whichever way you look at those stats, it is difficult to make the case for an appearance this year anything but odds-on (the degree to which is the detail). However Sportingbet obviously think differently and are offering odds of 11/10 that Bernd Mayländer will be called in to action. In pure value terms, that looks worth taking.