F1Punter

The winning margin is not a market that I usually get involved in, but with uncertainty surrounding so many of the traditional markets both at this circuit and at this point in the season, it looks to be worthwhile falling back on some statistics. Continue reading…

I have to admit that I have been lining this up for a while and when I saw that 6/5 was available about a no show I was delighted. Sepang is a huge wide track with incredibly generous gravel traps and run-off areas. Even in the event of a multi-car smash the resulting debris is usually well clear of the racing line and can be dealt with under waved-yellows. This is borne out by the fact that there has been no safety car in Malaysia for six years. Continue reading…

Back-to-back races mean a quick turnaround in to our preparation for Sepang. Attached to this post is a data sheet containing some useful trends and statistics about the past nine races at the Malaysian track. Let me know what you think.

Title: Malaysian Grand Prix Data Sheet | Format: PDF | Filesize: 84.9kb
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My main bet for the race is detailed here, but these are a few others that I have an interest in:

Alonso to finish in the points @ EVS (Coral)

Problems with his differential meant (to an extent) that Fernando Alonso qualified in an unfamiliar position outside of the top ten. Continue reading…

The opening race of the 2006 season saw a stunning drive by Kimi Raikkonen from the back of the grid to finish on the Bahrain podium. Here in Australia on the opening day of last season, his teammate managed to drag his Ferrari forward sixteen places in fifty-eight laps after starting from last place. Following his fuel pressure problem in qualifying, Raikkonen again faces a similar task – starting from sixteenth on the grid. I am backing him to make a good fist of it. Continue reading…

Anyone who reads the blogs in my blogroll will have noticed that there has been a good spirit of collaboration in the build up to the 2008 Formula One season. However I have decided to go one better and just steal someone else’s idea…
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As promised, here is the first in the series of data sheets that I will be producing in advance of each Grand Prix. Hopefully the statistics and trends that I have included will provide some useful pointers for those of you looking to have a bet.

Title: Australian Grand Prix Data Sheet | Format: PDF | Filesize: 85.4kb
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Sporting Index has finally managed to throw together some spread prices for the Drivers’ World Championships and Constructors’ World Championships markets. Perhaps they read F1Punter? The championship indexes offer a sliding scale of reward depending on where each driver or team finishes (top six for drivers, top three for constructors).
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SportingBet have some interesting season-long match bets based on teams, teammates and mythical driver match-ups. Most of their prices seem pretty fair (save the massive over-round), but there are a few that I am struggling to explain.

The first is this constructor match bet:
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Formula1.com and the ING Renault F1 Team have teamed up to analyze how they feel that the new 2008 regulations will impact the sport. It is well worth reading, but what I wanted to consider was how those changes will affect our betting strategy throughout the year. Below I have focused on those rule changes that I feel will have the greatest bearing on punting:
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